Manchester City have reportedly been found guilty of most Premier League charges and are expected to appeal. If the finding stands, sanctions could include a fine, points deduction or expulsion; the analysis rates a fine most likely and Premier League expulsion unlikely.
The analysis gives a fine a 9/10 likelihood; a present-day points deduction and retroactive points and title removal each receive 6/10, while Premier League expulsion gets 2/10. It says a deduction of at least 25–30 points would be needed to knock City out of title and top-four contention.
Premier League regulation W.64 lists fines, suspensions, points deductions, compensation and a recommendation to expel a club from the league. The article says the Premier League cannot expel City from the wider Football League and has no direct mechanism to force the owners to sell.
