The Colts host the Texans in a Week 3 game-day open thread, with both teams 0-2. Kickoff is listed for 1 p.m. EST; Indianapolis will be without Alec Pierce and Houston without Nico Collins. The preview predicts a 24-20 Texans win.
The preview cites NFL Next Gen Stats showing Houston with the league’s best defensive success rate at 34.2%, but the worst explosive-pass rate allowed at 26.5%. It questions whether Indianapolis can exploit that weakness without Pierce; Daniel Jones has attempted 14 passes of at least 10 air yards through two games.
Houston has averaged 18.5 points through two games, compared with nearly 24 per game in 2025, and scored touchdowns on 44% of its red-zone trips. The writer says Houston’s red-zone touchdown rate falls to 15% in games without Collins, dating back to 2025; Indianapolis has allowed touchdowns on nearly 67% of opponents’ red-zone trips.
