Civiqs tracking data show Donald Trump’s net approval among white voters has turned negative in six states he won in 2024: Kentucky, Texas, Missouri, Alaska, Ohio and Arizona. The shifts could matter in November’s midterms, but the tracker does not poll individual races.
Civiqs’ online tracker includes 132,219 responses collected from Jan. 20, 2025, to Sept. 24, 2026. Its state figures for white voters are subgroup estimates, not stand-alone statewide polls; the article cautions that small differences should not be treated as precise forecasts.
The article highlights Senate contests in Alaska, Ohio and Texas, which Democrats are targeting. It reports Mary Peltola leading Sen. Dan Sullivan in Alaska polling, James Talarico leading Ken Paxton in a number of Texas polls, and a close race between Sherrod Brown and Jon Husted in Ohio. White House spokesman Davis Ingle previously called the 2024 election the “ultimate poll” and said the administration was making progress on jobs, inflation and housing affordability.
